EUR/USD Analysis & Trade Setup Based on Smart Money Concept

Date: May 26, 2025

Market Overview

EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.14075, within a key Weekly Point of Interest (POI) that I show in the chart. It is a very significant zone because it suggests that institutional traders are positioning for liquidity grabs and structural shifts. So after the market reaches this price level, it can roll to the downside.

eurusd weekly traidng forecast siganls

Liquidity Pools & Stop Hunts

  • Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): Around 1.1430, where stop-loss orders from short positions are clustered.
  • Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Near 1.1280-1.1270, where long position stop-loss orders reside.
  • Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price may balance within 1.1300-1.1350, a potential re-entry zone.

Market Structure & Trend Shifts

  • Break of Structure (BoS): A drop below 1.1380 signals continuation of bearish order flow.
  • Change of Character (ChoCh): Bullish confirmation if price mitigates liquidity and reclaims key levels.
  • Institutional Order Blocks (OB): A Weekly Order Block near 1.1350, likely acting as support.

Bullish Scenario (Smart Money Accumulation)

Setup: Price sweeps sell-side liquidity near 1.1280-1.1270 and shows ChoCh confirmation.
Entry: After liquidity grab and market structure shift.

Targets are as follows:

  • First TP: 1.1400 (Institutional Liquidity Zone)
  • Second TP: 1.1430 (Liquidity Pool)
  • Extended TP: 1.1500 (Major Resistance Level)
  • Risk Management: Stop-loss below 1.1270, securing against extended liquidity hunts.

Bullish Scenario (Smart Money Accumulation)

Setup: Price sweeps sell-side liquidity near 1.1280-1.1270 and shows ChoCh confirmation.
Entry: After liquidity grab and market structure shift.


Targets are as follows:

  • First TP: 1.1400 (Institutional Liquidity Zone)
  • Second TP: 1.1430 (Liquidity Pool)
  • Extended TP: 1.1500 (Major Resistance Level)
  • Risk Management: Stop-loss below 1.1270, securing against extended liquidity hunts.

In this analysis, we present the smart money footprint simple way.

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